This article was published by Al Jazeera International.
Angela Merkel left Greece on Friday after an unusual show of support for
the leftwing government of Alexis Tsipras and disdain for her fellow-conservative
opposition leader Kyriakos Mitsotakis.
What caused this reverse-polarity was the Syriza government’s agreement
with the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia (FYROM) last year to change that
country’s name to North Macedonia.
That agreement has led to a series of constitutional revisions by
Greece’s neighbour, expected to be finalized this week. The onus will then be
on Greece to ratify the agreement. Greece’s veto on North Macedonia joining
NATO and the European Union would then be lifted.
“I am especially grateful to Alexis Tsipras for taking the initiative on
a very difficult problem,” Merkel said on Thursday, praising his “great courage”.
Merkel had less kind words for Mitsotakis, leader of the New Democracy party,
which vows to vote against the agreement.
“On
matters of great national importance there must be an effort to find a common
position. That is what I support. But I am under no illusion as far as [party]
positions are concerned. I am sure a German chancellor’s visit won’t change
them.”
New
Democracy’s opposition has been compounded by the refusal of Syriza’s junior
coalition partner, the right-wing Independent Greeks, to ratify the agreement.
That leaves Tsipras six votes short of the 151 he needs in the 300-seat
legislature.
Syriza
insists that it will muster the votes by stealing sympathetic MPs from
Independent Greeks and Potami, a centre-right reformist party. Merkel’s visit
was a reminder to those MPs that Europe is watching what Greek lawmakers do.
U-Turn if you want to
Merkel’s
previous three visits, in October 2012, November 2013 and April 2014 were all
designed to support the then-conservative government in cost-cutting and
economic reforms, which ultimately balanced the budget. Syriza was then an
up-and-comer with the power to control the street, if not the legislature. It
helped orchestrate massive protests in which Tsipras called New Democracy
collaborators and “Merkelists”.
On
Thursday, however, Tsipras warmed to Merkel’s presence remarkably well. Asked
about his shift, Tsipras appeared to try to justify his about-turn from
austerity opponent to austerity enforcer when he came to power in 2015. “When
you’re prime minister, you have to represent everybody… those who protest and
those who fear protests… the unemployed and those who work and are afraid of
losing their jobs… those who have nothing to lose and those who have life
savings.”
“Those who were protesting then are now in power,” says Athens
University history professor Thanos Veremis. “They are running the government,
and they have been on very good terms with Ms. Merkel since they took over in
2015. Mr. Tsipras has been like her long lost nephew from the Balkans. Whenever
they meet they kiss and embrace. It’s like a family gathering,” he chuckles.
Tsipras’
great U-turn has become a politically useful image for Merkel, who is beset by
a Eurosceptic far-right opposition at home and in her central European
neighbourhood. Italy’s interior minister, Matteo Salvini, has announced a “new European spring” as he prepares a
Eurosceptic alliance ahead of European Parliament elections in May. The
alliance, expected to declare itself next month, is to include France’s gilets jaunes, Germany’s Alternativ fur
Deutschland, and Poland’s ruling Law and Justice Party, among others.
These
anti-establishment forces arose as a result of post-2008 economic crises and
the post-2015 immigration crisis in Europe. Greece arguably suffered the worst
of both, but rather than swinging towards right-wing nationalism it produced the
left-wing Syriza government, which ultimately compromised its
anti-establishment principles to keep Greece in the Eurozone and the European
Union. Holding up this example of a once-rebellious party that was tamed by
common sense, as Merkel would have it, is now a powerful political tool.
“The EU will have to present its achievements of the past year, and one
of them presumably is the fact that Greece has been successful in getting out
of the corset of memoranda,” says Veremis with a reference to the laundry lists
of austerity measures Greece signed up to.
Although Greece was cleared to borrow from markets last August,
officially graduating from eight years of Eurozone oversight, it still hasn’t
sold any multi-year government bonds. Markets are evidently spooked by its
still-high taxes and unemployment, low growth and high loan repayment costs.
“We know better,” says Veremis. “They haven’t really gotten out in the
sense that the economy isn’t really doing that well yet, and we can’t go to the
open markets. Nevertheless we are out of it, and [Merkel] might very well use
that as a reason for rejoicing over the EU’s policy vis-a-vis Greece.”
The street is still
angry
This realpolitik, however, remains far from sentiment on the Greek
street, which feels the pain of spending 2.2 percent of GDP repaying emergency
loans to European institutions for the next 40 years. Germany was instrumental
in enforcing austerity measures in return for those loans throughout Europe,
but nowhere was more money spent and more austerity enforced than in Greece.
“Germany wants this situation with all the austerity measures to
continue. It doesn’t want any upheaval or complications,” says lawyer Paris
Papadakis, explaining the reason for Merkel’s visit. “It wants to secure German
interests. After all, Germany is the major economic power in Europe now. That
means paying off our loans, it means promoting German industrial interests.
Greece no longer depends on its own strengths, but on external powers.”
Restauranteur Ioannis Meraklidis agrees. “[Merkel] hasn’t helped Greece.
If she had wanted to help, the government would have taken different measures.
It isn’t up to the government. We’re under Germany right now. Our children and
grandchildren cannot be condemned to paying off loans until 2060. Something has
to happen. We need to free ourselves from the German establishment.”
Merkel’s visits have inevitably awoken memories of the last time Germany
held direct power over Greece – the Nazi occupation of World War Two, which
bankrupted the economy as taxes were raised, agricultural produce was siphoned
off to Germany and a $230mn loan (in 1945 dollars) was forcibly extracted from
the Bank of Greece.
These sentiments are aggravated by the fact that Germany refuses to
discuss reparations or repayment of the wartime loan. “The issues of German reparations have
legally and politically been settled definitively,” declared Merkel’s government
spokesperson, Martina Fietz, on the eve of the visit.
Tsipras still raised the issue, saying, “of course we do not forget the
pending issues history has left us,” only to quickly pass over them and stress
that “Germany is one of the most important investors in Greece.”
Tsipras one-time mentor and predecessor as head of Syriza, Alekos
Alavanos, called him “a prime minister with a German babysitter” after the
visit. “Syriza bears no relationship with the Left except insomuch as it
debased and insulted it. It has passed worse measures than New Democracy did,”
he said.
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